TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Closed: Aug 13, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different song or artist, with resolution based solely on YouTube's official ranking data for that day.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific song or artist, and resolution depends exclusively on YouTube's official chart data for that date. If the listed song or artist occupies the #1 position on the chart for that day, the respective market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets operate independently, with no cumulative or comparative effects between them. References to YouTube are strictly descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation.
Frequently asked questions
While analyst forecasts and media polls offer projections for popular music videos, this market provides a real-time, trader-driven probability that often diverges from those expert views. Prediction market odds incorporate a broader set of signals — including social media trends, early streaming numbers, and fan engagement — which can lead to notable differences compared to traditional polling or analyst rankings.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning result will be the music video that achieves the highest number of daily views in the United States on YouTube for August 13, 2026, as officially reported by YouTube or a similarly authoritative source.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major social media virality, influencer endorsements, cross-platform promotions, and any last-minute releases or controversies surrounding competing videos. Early streaming numbers, trending hashtags, and weekend engagement spikes often serve as leading indicators that traders watch closely as the resolution date approaches.
