TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Closed: Aug 11, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date in 2026. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will top the rankings, reflecting real-time viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks #1 on the chart for that date. Only one market can resolve to 'Yes' since the chart lists a single #1 video. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, traders currently assign a likelihood to each possible contender for the Top US Music Video market. These probabilities reflect collective expectations about viewer engagement and release timing. Analyst forecasts often emphasize historical trends, artist popularity, and promotional strategies. While both sources aim to predict audience behavior, market odds tend to update more dynamically with real-time sentiment, whereas analyst reports may incorporate broader industry insights and longer-term performance metrics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market uses a continuous double auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the bid-ask spread and order book depth, adjusting as new information emerges about upcoming releases and viewer trends. Volume of $3,844 shows trader interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $3,358 indicates how actively the market has been trading leading up to Aug 25, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning music video will be the one that achieves the highest number of daily views on YouTube for the specified date in the United States.
Key signals that could shift this market include major social media trends, celebrity endorsements, music video premieres, or viral challenges that boost view counts. Any unexpected surge in popularity for a competing video, or a significant drop in views for the current favorite, may also cause price movements as traders adjust their positions.
