TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count on YouTube's US daily chart for a specific date. It reflects audience engagement and popularity trends in music content over a single day, showcasing how viral videos can dominate digital platforms.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart for August 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video occupies the #1 position on the chart for the specified date. All markets share the same resolution criterion, differing only in the named video they reference. The secondary rules clarify that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, not indicative of affiliation or endorsement. Since each primary rule follows an identical structure—checking for the #1 chart position of a particular video on the designated date—the event functions as a collective assessment of which video attains peak visibility and viewer interest on that day.
Frequently asked questions
While analyst forecasts and media polls offer projections for the most popular music video, this market provides a dynamic, trader-driven probability that can diverge based on real-time betting patterns, viral trends, and unexpected releases. Traders may assign higher or lower odds than traditional forecasts, especially if new data emerges that analysts have not yet incorporated.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied probability reflecting the collective expectation of which video will finish at the top. The market’s price fluctuates based on trading volume, recent view counts, and any breaking news about competing releases or promotions.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning music video will be the one that achieves the highest number of daily views on YouTube for the specified date, as confirmed by YouTube’s official data.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major social media promotions, celebrity endorsements, viral challenges tied to specific videos, changes in YouTube’s algorithm affecting view counts, and last-minute releases or collaborations that gain rapid traction. Any surprise announcements or controversies surrounding the leading contenders could also cause rapid price adjustments.
