TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video
- Kalshi
Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global viewership on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the popularity and reach of various music videos as measured by YouTube's real-time chart data, showcasing audience preferences and trends in music consumption.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for September 23, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video holds the number one position on the specified chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, not indicative of affiliation or endorsement. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart ranking for the given day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time sentiment and unexpected developments. While analysts may focus on established artists and pre-release hype, the market can quickly adjust to viral trends or surprising performance. Discrepancies between the two can highlight overlooked factors or differing interpretations of available data, offering a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different music videos. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability of being the top daily music video on YouTube on the specified date. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of the perceived likelihood of each outcome. The market depth and trading volume are key indicators of confidence in each prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the top daily music video on YouTube as determined by official YouTube charts on September 23, 2026, will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will not rely on subjective interpretations. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following verification.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok or Instagram could propel a lesser-known artist to the top. Major award nominations or wins, high-profile collaborations, or even controversies surrounding an artist could also influence the odds. Pre-release hype and initial streaming numbers will be closely watched, as will any significant marketing campaigns. Shifts in YouTube's algorithm or changes in user preferences could also play a role in determining which music video ultimately reaches the top spot.
