TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 20, 2026
Closed: Sep 18, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global viewership on YouTube for a specific day, reflecting current trends and audience preferences in the digital music landscape. The outcome depends entirely on real-time user engagement metrics.
Kalshi
Each market corresponds to a distinct music video contender, with resolution contingent upon that video securing the top position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for September 18, 2026. A video's victory is determined solely by its ranking on this specific chart for that date. All markets operate independently; only the market matching the actual chart-topping video will resolve positively, while all others resolve negatively. Neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any referenced trademarks are used descriptively without implying affiliation or approval.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional music industry analysts, potentially factoring in a wider range of data points like social media trends and viral potential. While analysts may focus on established artists and marketing campaigns, the market can quickly adapt to unexpected surges in popularity. Discrepancies between the two can highlight overlooked contenders or differing interpretations of audience engagement, offering a unique view of likely success.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular music video reaching the top spot. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a contract increases its price, reflecting a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information from a diverse range of participants, creating a real-time assessment of the most likely scenario. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for continuous adjustment as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the top daily music video on YouTube for September 18, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube charts will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances shortly after the resolution process is complete. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected collaborations between popular artists, viral challenges featuring a specific song, or major marketing campaigns could all shift the odds. Pre-release hype and initial streaming numbers will be closely watched, as will any controversies or positive media coverage surrounding the artists involved. Changes in YouTube’s algorithm or trending music tastes could also play a role. Any unforeseen event impacting the release or promotion of a music video could create substantial movement in this market.
