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402,751
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 11, 2026
Closed: Sep 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Aisi Meri Vibe | Vibe | Preity | Kunal | Sparsh | Vanshika | Kanfuzion | Khillari | Irfana
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
NEVER ENOUGH - Arian Romal (Official Music Video) INTERNATIONAL DADDY ALBUM
Will rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Sep 10, 2026?
Samjho Na - THE VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Jubin Nautiyal, Tanishk B, Suvarna, Manoj M
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count globally on YouTube for a specific day. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will lead the charts, reflecting real-time audience engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for September 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video occupies the #1 position on the specified chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The outcome hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data for the given day, with no additional performance or eligibility criteria beyond chart position.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting viral video success is highly speculative and often relies on subjective factors. However, prediction markets like this one can often provide a more accurate aggregate forecast than individual opinions, as they reflect the collective wisdom of many traders. If pre-event polls or expert predictions become available, they may offer a contrasting viewpoint to the probabilities expressed in this market, potentially highlighting areas of disagreement or unexpected market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different music videos, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people bet on a particular video, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to assess the current state of the market and make informed decisions. The price reflects what traders believe is the likelihood of each video topping the charts.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the music video with the highest number of views on YouTube globally for September 10, 2026, will be considered the winning outcome. The final view counts will be sourced from publicly available data provided by YouTube, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the winning contract.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. The release of highly anticipated music videos from major artists in the weeks leading up to September 10, 2026, would be a major catalyst. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok could also propel a lesser-known song to the top. Major marketing campaigns or promotional events surrounding a specific video could also shift the odds. Finally, any news or controversies involving artists or their music could influence viewership and, consequently, the market prices in this market.
