TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count globally on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects audience engagement and popularity trends in the music industry, showcasing how viral content performs on major platforms.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified music video ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for September 1, 2026. All markets are independent, with no interdependence between them. None of the markets or products are endorsed by YouTube; references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement. The outcome is determined solely by YouTube's official chart data for the specified date.
Analyst forecasts for the top YouTube music video market often differ from prediction market odds. While analysts may weigh historical trends and artist momentum, this market reflects real-time trader sentiment and betting patterns. The gap between these two perspectives can reveal market sentiment not captured in traditional analysis. For example, traders might anticipate viral moments or platform algorithm shifts that analysts have not yet considered. This divergence provides a unique view of crowd-sourced expectations for which music video will dominate YouTube views on the target date.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through continuous bidding and offering. The current implied probability reflects the collective belief about which music video will achieve the highest daily global views on YouTube. Volume of $28,824 shows trader interest, while 24-hour volume of $12,724 indicates recent activity spikes. Price fluctuations often respond to new music releases, promotional campaigns, and shifting viewer trends leading up to the settlement date.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning music video will be the one that achieves the highest daily global views on YouTube for that specific day, as officially reported by YouTube.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution: major artist releases or comebacks, viral challenges tied to specific songs, award show nominations or wins, and significant spikes in streaming or social media mentions. Any unexpected surge in daily views for a particular video—driven by trends, collaborations, or media coverage—could also cause rapid price movements.