TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]
Ramayana: Ravana Tandav (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir, Yash | AR Rahman, Vishal D, Kumar V
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Ramayana: Ravana Tandavam (Song) | Ranbir, Yash | Namit M, Nitesh T | AR Rahman, Anirudh,GV Prakash
Ramayana: Ravana Tandavam (Song) | Ranbir, Yash | Namit M, Nitesh T | AR Rahman, Ravi Basrur
Veezha Veera Lyrical (Tamil) | OM | Dhanush | Mammootty | Sai Pallavi | Rajkumar | Sai Abhyankkar
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global viewership on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the competitive nature of online content popularity, where creators and artists strive for top engagement through their videos.
Kalshi
The event determines the winner based on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video ranks #1 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical resolution criteria but apply to different songs or artists. Secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome hinges solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified day.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this type of event. Unlike political or economic predictions, there aren’t widely published, standardized forecasts for which music video will dominate YouTube’s daily charts. However, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively assessing factors like artist popularity, promotional efforts, and viral potential. The current pricing suggests a different outcome than many social media commentators predict, indicating a potential divergence in expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular music video’s likelihood of topping the charts. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a video will win, the higher the price of its contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations about the eventual outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official YouTube charts will be used to determine which music video held the top daily position globally on the specified date. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from YouTube, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. A major promotional push from a record label, such as a surprise release or high-profile media appearance, could shift sentiment towards a particular artist. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok could also rapidly increase a video’s viewership and influence the market. Furthermore, any controversies or positive news surrounding an artist could impact their popularity and, consequently, the odds in this market. Unexpected collaborations or remixes could also create a surge in interest.
