TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Closed: Aug 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest daily view count globally on YouTube for a specific date. It reflects audience engagement trends and the varying popularity of music videos across cultures and platforms on that particular day.
Kalshi
The event determines whether any of the specified music videos rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the outcome resolves to Yes if that particular video occupies the top position on the chart for the specified date. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The markets are based on YouTube's official chart data, though neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect real-time betting sentiment rather than curated expert opinion. Where analysts may issue detailed reports, prediction market prices capture crowd-sourced expectations that can shift quickly with new streaming trends, social media buzz, or surprise releases. This can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities versus traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine pricing through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. Market depth and liquidity influence how tightly prices are packed, and volume of $0 helps gauge trader interest. The platform’s pricing mechanism adjusts constantly based on buy and sell orders from participants.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on official YouTube data for the specified day, ensuring an objective and transparent close. Traders can monitor news and platform announcements as the resolution window nears.
Virality on social media, influencer endorsements, or a surprise release schedule could shift this market significantly before Aug 23, 2026. Major spikes in streaming activity, chart placements, or controversies surrounding competing videos may also cause rapid re-pricing. Keep an eye on trending topics and real-time view counts as the resolution date approaches.
