TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 8, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global view count on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the real-time popularity of music videos among international audiences, showcasing trends and preferences in digital entertainment consumption.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on the YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' for the video that ranks #1 on that chart for the specified date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data for the designated day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments.
Frequently asked questions
Analyst forecasts for the YouTube top music video market often reflect trends seen in this market, but they can differ due to varying methodologies. Analysts might weigh historical performance, artist popularity, and promotional strategies differently than traders. While both sources aim to predict the same outcome, analyst reports may incorporate qualitative insights not reflected in market odds. Traders on Kalshi react in real time to new information, which can cause rapid shifts in probabilities. This dynamic nature means market odds can sometimes lead or lag behind analyst consensus, depending on emerging news or social media trends.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market based on their expectations of which music video will top YouTube’s daily global chart. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting continuously with new data. Volume of $340 and 24-hour volume of $115 show trader interest. The market price is a real-time aggregation of buy and sell orders, capturing shifts in sentiment as the Aug 22, 2026 deadline approaches. This mechanism allows for rapid price adjustments in response to breaking news or trending topics.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning music video is simply the one that holds the number-one spot on YouTube’s global daily chart for that specific day.
Several signals could influence this market as Aug 22, 2026 approaches. Major music releases, viral challenges, or celebrity endorsements might boost a video’s views rapidly. Platform algorithm changes on YouTube could also shift rankings unexpectedly. Social media trends, especially on platforms like TikTok or Instagram, often drive YouTube traffic in unpredictable ways. Additionally, any controversy or backlash involving competing artists may affect viewer preferences. Traders on Kalshi will watch these developments closely, as each new development can cause swift changes in market odds before the final outcome is determined.
