TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 5, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global view count on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the real-time popularity and engagement of music videos among viewers worldwide, showcasing trends in audience preferences and viral content.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on which specified music video ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video secures the top position. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data for the designated date.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of popular opinion and trader speculation. Analysts may focus on chart performance, artist promotion, and regional trends, while traders price in real-time signals and betting patterns. The two can diverge significantly, especially when viral moments or surprise releases occur in the run-up to Aug 19, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. Market depth and liquidity influence how quickly prices adjust, and volume of $36,476 shows overall interest. The current implied probability reflects collective trader expectations about which video will top YouTube’s daily global rankings.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video is the one that achieves the highest number of global daily views on YouTube for that specific date, as reported by the platform’s official metrics and widely covered in media sources.
