TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global daily view count on YouTube for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether a particular video will top the charts, reflecting audience engagement and popularity trends.
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks #1 on the chart for that date. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Importantly, neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets; references to YouTube are used descriptively and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified date, with no consideration for tiebreakers or additional criteria beyond the #1 position.
Analyst forecasts often differ from the probabilities shown in this market. Experts may highlight varying factors such as artist momentum or promotional strategies that aren't fully priced in by traders on Kalshi. While analysts provide detailed reports, the market reflects real-time trader sentiment and can therefore show higher or lower confidence depending on recent developments and betting patterns.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome implied chance reflecting aggregate expectations. The volume of $21,087 indicates liquidity, while the 24-hour volume of $1,426 shows recent trading activity. Price shifts often follow news about potential contenders, media coverage trends, or notable performance metrics.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video will be the one that achieves the highest number of global daily views on YouTube for that date.