TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global view count on YouTube for a specific day in the future. Each option represents a different music video vying for the top spot, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends across diverse genres and regions.
The event determines the winner based on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 29, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' for the video that occupies the #1 position on that chart for the specified date. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on chart ranking. Secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube or Kalshi.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect real-time trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional polling or media predictions. While analysts may weigh historical performance and chart trends, market participants incorporate a broader set of signals — including social media momentum and viewing patterns — which can make this market’s implied probability differ noticeably from expert outlooks.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning result will be the music video that holds the top position for daily global views on YouTube’s official charts for the specified date, as confirmed by the platform’s standard verification process.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 12, 2026: major YouTube algorithm updates, viral challenges tied to new releases, celebrity endorsements, or unexpected surges in view counts from trending topics. Any development that influences global viewer preferences or daily viewing tallies — such as a high-profile performance or media coverage — may cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their bets.