TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global view count on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the real-time popularity of music content as measured by viewer engagement, showcasing trends in audience preferences and viral success.
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video secures the #1 position on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart ranking, with no additional performance or eligibility criteria applied beyond chart position.
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on surveys or media trends, this market uses real-money bets to set its odds. On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects what traders collectively believe about which music video will lead the chart. This can diverge from expert predictions, especially if viral moments or last-minute releases emerge. Monitoring this market offers a dynamic, crowd-sourced perspective that adjusts rapidly to new data, whereas analyst reports typically update less frequently.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current top outcome price indicates the market’s expectation for which music video will finish first. As new information emerges — such as a surprise release or a chart-topping performance — participants adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. This continuous trading process determines the market’s odds without any external influence from other venues.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, YouTube’s official Daily Top Music Videos Global chart will declare the top-ranked music video, and the market will close based on that verified result. No internal platform mechanisms or external judgments are involved — the public chart data alone decides the settlement.