TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global view count on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the competitive nature of online content popularity and audience engagement with music videos across different regions and genres.
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 23, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video ranks #1 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The displayed percentage reflects collective trader expectations about which music video will lead global YouTube daily views on the target date. Volume of $1 shows overall trader interest, while recent activity may shift pricing as new information emerges about artist promotions or viral trends.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the music video that achieves the highest number of global daily views on YouTube for that specific date, as reported by the platform’s official analytics.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 6, 2026. Major YouTube algorithm updates, surprise artist collaborations, or high-profile music releases might boost specific videos into contention. Platform-specific promotional campaigns or controversies surrounding leading artists may also influence trader sentiment. Real-time view counts released each day will provide the clearest directional cues for market movement.