TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 25, 2026
Closed: Aug 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global view count on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the popularity and reach of music content across different cultures and languages, showcasing viewer preferences in the digital space.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - Global ranking for August 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video ranks #1 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart data for the specified day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied across markets.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect real-time trader sentiment and can shift quickly with new data. Analysts may provide detailed commentary based on chart performance and release calendars, while this market lets bettors place money directly on their expectations. The two can agree or diverge, especially as fresh views emerge in the run-up to Sep 3, 2026.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about which music video will lead global YouTube daily views. Volume of $28,378 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $13,268 indicates current activity levels. Traders adjust positions based on news, artist promotions, and viewing trends, causing price shifts as the Sep 3, 2026 deadline approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video is the one that holds the top spot on YouTube’s official global daily music video rankings for the specified date, as reported by trusted news outlets and YouTube’s own data.
Several signals could affect this market before it closes. Major artist releases, viral challenges, or platform features may boost specific videos. Contender performance in previews, award nominations, or social media trends might also shift probabilities. Any surprise collaborations or controversies involving leading artists can change trader sentiment. As Sep 3, 2026 nears, real-time view counts and last-minute promotional pushes will most strongly influence outcomes.
