TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global view count on YouTube for a specific day. Participants speculate on whether particular songs will dominate viewer engagement through their popularity, trends, or cultural impact.
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - Global ranking for August 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video; if that video ranks #1 on the chart for that date, the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets operate independently, with no interaction between them. YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about which music video will lead global YouTube views on the specified day. Volume of $2 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $2 indicates current activity levels. Traders adjust positions based on emerging trends, artist announcements, and regional viewing patterns that might influence the outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is the music video that appears in the number-one position on YouTube’s official Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for that exact date, removing any ambiguity from regional variations or time zones.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. Major artist releases, viral challenges, or high-profile performances might boost specific videos into contention. Regional internet outages or platform algorithm changes could also affect global rankings. News about celebrity endorsements or controversies linked to competing artists may sway trader sentiment. Any development that alters viewer preferences or viewing accessibility has the potential to move odds in this market as the August 16 date approaches.