TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest view count globally on YouTube for a specific day. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs will top the daily charts based on anticipated viewer engagement and trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks #1 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution criterion but apply to different songs, allowing participants to bet on the likelihood of each video achieving the top position. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, except insofar as only one video can occupy the #1 spot. References to YouTube are purely descriptive and indicate no endorsement or affiliation between YouTube and the event operator.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on surveys or historical trends, prediction market odds aggregate real-money bets from traders who react instantly to new data. This creates a dynamic, crowd-sourced probability that can diverge sharply from expert predictions, especially when viral moments or surprise releases occur. For this market, the current odds reflect trader confidence in which video will capture the most views in a single day.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is the music video that achieves the highest number of global daily views on YouTube for the specified date, as reported by the platform’s official metrics. No additional interpretation is needed — the highest-viewed video that day wins.
