TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the highest global viewership on YouTube for a specific day. It reflects the real-time popularity of music content across cultures and platforms, showcasing audience preferences through viewer engagement metrics.
Kalshi
The event determines the top-ranked music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos - Global chart for August 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video secures the #1 position on the chart for that date. Only one video can occupy the top spot, meaning all markets except the correct one will resolve to 'No.' The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of popular opinion and trader speculation. Analysts may focus on chart performance, artist promotion, and regional trends, while traders price in real-time sentiment and short-term viral factors. Differences between the two can highlight where crowd intuition diverges from expert projections, offering a useful contrast for watchers.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning video is the one that tops YouTube’s global daily music video chart on that date, as measured by the platform’s official metrics. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the published leader.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution: major artist releases, viral challenges, platform algorithm changes, or news events that drive viewership. High-profile performances, social media trends, or regional viewing spikes may also influence trader sentiment. Any development that alters the likelihood of a particular video leading daily global views can cause rapid price adjustments.
