TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns which album will hold the top position on the USA's weekly streaming chart for albums on a specific date in mid-June 2026.
Resolution is determined by Spotify's Weekly Top Albums USA chart dated June 11, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the specified album achieves the #1 position on that chart according to Spotify's official rankings. Markets close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release date and expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following data release or one week after the expected release. This market is not endorsed by Spotify and references to Spotify charts are descriptive only.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each competing album is priced as a separate binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to it topping the chart on June 11, 2026. Prices range from near zero to near 100, with the sum of all album probabilities equaling approximately 100. As new music releases, chart performance data, and cultural moments emerge, traders adjust positions, moving prices up or down. The most heavily traded albums typically show tighter bid-ask spreads and higher liquidity, while niche or surprise contenders may trade at wider spreads with lower volume.
The market resolves on Jun 25, 2026, after the Billboard Weekly Top Albums USA chart for the week ending June 11, 2026 is officially published. Resolution is determined by which album holds the number-one position on that chart. All contracts tied to the winning album resolve to 100, while all others resolve to zero. Traders should monitor Billboard's official release schedule and any potential delays or corrections to the chart data that could affect final settlement.
Major catalysts include album release announcements and dates from major artists, surprise drops or delays that shift the competitive landscape, chart performance data from preceding weeks showing momentum, streaming and sales metrics that predict chart positioning, and cultural events or controversies affecting artist popularity. Award show performances, viral social media moments, and radio playlist placements can rapidly shift trader expectations. Additionally, competing album release dates clustering near June 11 create uncertainty about which projects will actually chart that week, driving volatility in market prices as new information emerges.