TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 7:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Hï Ibiza will rank among the top five clubs on DJ Mag's annual Top 100 Clubs list. On Kalshi, the probability of Hï Ibiza securing a top-five position stands at 91.0%, based on DJ Mag's official rankings as the resolution source. The outcome will be determined by DJ Mag's 2026 Top 100 Clubs list publication, which will serve as the definitive measure of whether this Ibiza venue maintains its elite standing in the global nightclub hierarchy.
If Hï Ibiza is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If GREENVALLEY is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ushuaïa Ibiza is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Echostage is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Savaya is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bootshaus is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laroc Club is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illuzion Phuket is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Noa Beach Club is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amnesia is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If fabric is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pacha is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FABRIK is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If DC-10 is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Berghain is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Avant Gardner & The Brooklyn Mirage is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Studio 338 is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If PLAY HOUSE is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cavo Paradiso is in the Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect crowdsourced trader expectations rather than formal analyst reports, since DJ Mag's Top 100 Clubs list is determined by editorial judgment and reader voting rather than quantitative metrics. However, you can compare market-implied probabilities against industry commentary from nightlife journalists, club review publications, and DJ Mag's own historical patterns and editorial trends. Markets often price in venue reputation, recent renovations, headline DJ bookings, and social media buzz more dynamically than static analyst forecasts. This real-time pricing mechanism allows traders to incorporate emerging information about club developments faster than traditional media analysis.
The market resolves on Dec 31, 2026, coinciding with DJ Mag's publication of its annual Top 100 Clubs list. Resolution is determined by the official rankings released by DJ Mag, which compiles votes from industry professionals, club owners, and readers worldwide. Each outcome contract corresponds to a specific club and settles based on whether that venue appears anywhere within the top-five positions of the published list. The resolution is binary per club: either the club ranks in the top five or it does not. DJ Mag's announcement is the authoritative source for determining all market outcomes.
Key catalysts include major DJ residency announcements at top venues, significant renovations or rebranding efforts, high-profile events or festival hosting, changes in club ownership or management, and social media momentum or viral moments. Seasonal nightlife trends, travel restrictions, and economic conditions affecting tourism also influence market pricing. DJ Mag's pre-release hints, industry awards, and coverage of club developments can shift trader expectations. Competitive dynamics matter too: if a rival venue gains prominence, it may reduce odds for established clubs. Real-time news about artist bookings, venue closures, or regulatory changes in key nightlife cities will likely drive price movements as traders reassess top-five probabilities.