TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 26, 2026?
BbY WOW
- Kalshi
BbY WOW - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Closed: Sep 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether specific songs appear in the top positions of a major music chart during a particular week in 2026. Each song is evaluated individually to determine its ranking status for the specified date.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named song appears within the top ten positions on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week ending September 26, 2026. The evaluation is strictly based on chart performance for that exact week, with no consideration of prior or subsequent weeks. All markets explicitly state that references to Billboard and the Hot 100 are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation between the chart organization and the market platform. The rules focus solely on verifying chart positions without additional conditions or qualifications.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions within this market to traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts often provide predictions about chart performance based on streaming numbers, radio play, and sales, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. These traders are weighing all available information, including data points not always considered by analysts, and expressing their beliefs through their buy and sell decisions. Therefore, discrepancies may exist, and this market offers a unique perspective on potential chart outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different songs being in the Top 10, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that song achieving that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, showing the current bids and asks for each outcome, providing insight into trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 26, 2026, is published. The songs listed in the Top 10 on that chart will determine which contracts pay out. The official Billboard chart rankings, as reported by Billboard.com, will be used to verify the outcome and settle the market. The resolution will be based on the final, verified chart data, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the winning outcomes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major album releases from popular artists, unexpected viral trends on social media, and shifts in radio airplay are all potential catalysts. A song gaining significant traction on platforms like TikTok or Spotify could quickly drive up its odds. Conversely, controversies surrounding an artist or a song could negatively impact its chart performance and lower its price in this market. Unexpected collaborations or the release of a highly anticipated music video could also create substantial movement in the probabilities.
