TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific songs appear in the top positions of a major music chart during a defined week in 2026. Each song is evaluated independently to determine its ranking status on that particular chart for the specified date.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named song appears within the top ten positions on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week ending September 12, 2026. The evaluation is strictly based on chart performance during that specific week, with no consideration for prior or subsequent rankings. All references to Billboard and the Hot 100 are used descriptively and do not imply endorsement or affiliation between the chart provider and the market operator. The outcome for each song is determined solely by its actual chart placement, without any adjustments or interpretations beyond official Billboard listings.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding, with prices adjusting based on buying and selling activity. The current implied probability reflects aggregated expectations for which songs will make the top 10, and volume of $12,539 shows overall interest. Market depth and recent trades help determine how sensitive pricing is to new information like surprise releases or viral moments.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 12, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will decide which songs placed in the top 10, settling all contracts based on that authoritative chart listing.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major song releases, chart performance updates, celebrity endorsements, streaming service promotions, and any last-minute viral trends on platforms like TikTok or YouTube. Weekly streaming and airplay reports, as well as media coverage leading up to September 12, will also heavily influence trader sentiment and price swings.