TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026?
kalshi

Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026?

Volume:
$1,569

Choosin' Texas

 - Kalshi

Choosin' Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 23, 2026

Closed: Jun 21, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Choosin' Texas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$772
N/A
N/A
$767
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BE HER

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
$252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Janice STFU

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
Yes
kalshi

I Knew It, I Knew You

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

hate that i made you love me

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

stupid song

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
Yes
kalshi

the cure

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
kalshi

honeybee

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
kalshi

drop dead

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Billie Jean

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

maggots for brains

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

EARRINGS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

I Just Might

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Man I Need

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

So Easy (To Fall In Love)

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shabang

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ran To Atlanta

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Risk It All

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Folded

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

STATESIDE

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

National Treasures

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Whisper My Name

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

begged

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event tracks whether any of a specific list of songs will appear in the Top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of June 27, 2026. The market is designed to predict the chart performance of these particular tracks during that specific week.

Kalshi

If BE HER is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billie Jean is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Boston is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Choosin' Texas is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If EARRINGS is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Folded is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If hate that i made you love me is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I Just Might is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I Knew It, I Knew You is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Man I Need is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If National Treasures is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ran To Atlanta is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Risk It All is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If So Easy (To Fall In Love) is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If STATESIDE is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the cure is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Whisper My Name is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for which songs will appear in the top 10 positions of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week ending June 27, 2026. It displays current implied probabilities for each eligible track, 24-hour trading volume, and price history to help traders monitor sentiment shifts as the chart date approaches. This centralized view lets you compare relative odds across different songs competing for top-10 placement and identify which tracks are gaining or losing trader confidence.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional music industry analysts and chart forecasters. While analysts rely on radio airplay, streaming data, and historical chart patterns, prediction markets aggregate thousands of individual bets, sometimes surfacing emerging trends or undervalued songs earlier. Comparing Kalshi odds to major music publications' predictions can reveal where the crowd sees value differently, though both approaches aim to forecast the same Billboard outcome.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each song eligible for top-10 placement is priced as a separate contract reflecting the probability traders assign to its inclusion in the final chart. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where higher prices indicate stronger consensus that a track will crack the top 10. Traders buy or sell these contracts based on streaming momentum, radio support, and cultural buzz, with the market price updating continuously until the resolution date as new information emerges.

The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, shortly after the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of June 27, 2026 is officially published. The outcome is determined by the actual top-10 rankings released by Billboard, which are based on a weighted formula combining radio airplay, streaming activity, and sales data from the tracking week. Once the official chart is released, each contract settles according to whether the corresponding song appears in the top 10 or not.

Major signals include new song releases or surprise drops from established artists, viral social media moments or TikTok trends, radio playlist additions or removals, streaming platform algorithm changes, award show performances, and celebrity endorsements. Chart-eligible songs gaining or losing radio support, unexpected chart debuts, or shifts in listener demographics can all shift trader expectations. Additionally, competing releases from rival artists, touring announcements, and real-time streaming data leaks can create volatility in odds as traders reassess which tracks will ultimately land in the top 10.