TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific songs appear in the top positions of a major music chart during a particular week in 2026. Each song is evaluated independently to determine its ranking status for the specified date.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named song appears within the top ten positions on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week ending August 22, 2026. The evaluation is strictly based on chart performance data published by Billboard for that exact week. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect others. Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are used descriptively to indicate the source of chart data, not to imply affiliation or approval.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of public sentiment and real-time data. While analysts may rely on chart performance metrics and historical trends, traders incorporate a broader range of signals, including social media buzz and streaming numbers. This can lead to divergence, especially for surprise hits or viral tracks not yet highlighted by industry experts.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 22, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will determine which songs place in the top 10, settling all positions on the market based on that authoritative list.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including major radio singles, music video releases, chart-boosting collaborations, and viral moments on platforms like TikTok or Instagram. Weekly streaming numbers, especially on Spotify and Apple Music, also heavily influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute chart rulings or genre-spanning crossovers could produce rapid price adjustments as the August 22 deadline approaches.