TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether particular songs appear within the top ten positions on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. Success is determined exclusively by a song's placement in that specific week's ranking.
Multiple markets are present, each linked to a different song. A market resolves to Yes if the specified song is ranked within the top ten positions on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 15, 2026; otherwise, it resolves to No. Secondary rules consistently state that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are descriptive, indicating no endorsement or affiliation.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert opinions and crowd-sourced speculation. Analysts may emphasize current chart performance, artist promotion cycles, and historical trends, while traders incorporate real-time betting patterns and short-term momentum shifts. Discrepancies can arise when market sentiment leans heavily on recent viral moments or emerging controversies that aren’t fully factored into traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 15, 2026 is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will determine which songs occupy the top 10 positions, settling all contracts based on the market’s predefined rules.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major music releases, chart-repeating performance by current leaders, viral social media trends, and significant media coverage or endorsements. Weekly streaming numbers, radio play increases, and live performance boosts from awards shows or festivals may also heavily influence trader sentiment and shift probabilities before the market closes.