TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors
kalshi

Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors

Volume:
$246,685

Scottie Scheffler

 - Kalshi

Scottie Scheffler - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

Closed: May 17, 7:18 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$44,709
N/A
N/A
$30,184
Settled
No
kalshi

Any golfer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,076
N/A
N/A
$31,679
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,263
N/A
N/A
$19,856
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,951
N/A
N/A
$11,546
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Rose

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,187
N/A
N/A
$9,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
14¢
N/A
$8,611
N/A
N/A
$6,141
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson DeChambeau

N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
$8,434
N/A
N/A
$7,491
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

N/A
N/A
89¢
N/A
$7,678
N/A
N/A
$5,969
Settled
No
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
6¢
N/A
$5,470
N/A
N/A
$4,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
$5,236
N/A
N/A
$4,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Sahith Theegala

N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
$5,016
N/A
N/A
$4,850
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

N/A
N/A
80¢
N/A
$5,008
N/A
N/A
$3,022
Settled
No
kalshi

J.J. Spaun

N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
$4,147
N/A
N/A
$4,147
Settled
No
kalshi

Russell Henley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,105
N/A
N/A
$3,643
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooks Koepka

N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
$3,718
N/A
N/A
$2,727
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Thomas

N/A
N/A
90¢
N/A
$2,972
N/A
N/A
$1,905
Settled
No
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
$2,896
N/A
N/A
$2,805
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyrrell Hatton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,657
N/A
N/A
$1,707
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Spieth

N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
$2,647
N/A
N/A
$1,411
Settled
No
kalshi

Hideki Matsuyama

N/A
N/A
89¢
N/A
$2,499
N/A
N/A
$1,905
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Burns

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
7¢
N/A
$1,996
N/A
N/A
$1,865
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Homa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,604
N/A
N/A
$1,589
Settled
No
kalshi

Min Woo Lee

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
$998
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Lowry

N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
$806
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Rory McIlroy will finish in the top 10 at all four golf major tournaments during 2026, with a current probability of 35.0%. A secondary outcome asks whether any golfer will achieve top-10 finishes across all four majors, currently at 34.0%. Resolution is determined by official results from golf's major tournaments as they conclude throughout 2026. Watch for McIlroy's performance at each major championship as the year progresses, with the final major scheduled for July 26, 2026.

Kalshi

A golfer must finish in the top 10 (including ties) in all four designated major championship tournaments during 2026 to satisfy the resolution criteria. The four majors are The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Each individual golfer outcome resolves independently to Yes if they achieve top-10 finishes across all four majors. Additionally, a catch-all outcome resolves to Yes if any golfer achieves this feat.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors event on Kalshi. You can monitor live probability estimates for whether selected golfers will finish in the top 10 across all four major championships. The dashboard displays current market prices, 24-hour trading volume of $30,747, and historical price movements. Total group volume stands at $194,629, reflecting sustained trader interest in this long-term golf outcome. Use these metrics to understand market sentiment and identify shifts in player performance expectations as the majors approach and unfold through Jul 26, 2026.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi for Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed betting lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in larger margins, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. Comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal undervalued or overvalued golfers. Prediction markets reward accurate forecasting, so sharp traders often identify edges that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Monitor both venues to spot discrepancies in how they value a golfer's chances of top-10 finishes across all four majors.

The Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors market resolves on Jul 26, 2026, after the conclusion of the final major championship in the contract period. Resolution depends on whether the specified golfer finishes in the top 10 of all four major tournaments. Each major tournament has its own leaderboard and official results, which determine the outcome. The market will settle based on verified final standings from the PGA Tour and official major championship records. Traders should monitor each golfer's performance throughout the season, as a single missed top-10 finish in any major will determine the contract's final value.

Several key signals can shift odds for Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors. Tournament results are the primary driver: a golfer's top-10 finish or miss at any major significantly impacts their contract price. Injury announcements, withdrawal news, or changes in playing schedule can trigger sharp price moves. Form trends across PGA Tour events, world ranking changes, and course-fit analysis also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions and course setup at each major venue may favor certain playing styles. Media coverage of player momentum, equipment changes, or coaching adjustments can sway market perception. As each major concludes, the market reprices based on whether the golfer achieved the required top-10 finish, with prices converging toward zero or 100 as resolution approaches.