TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Tony Awards: Best Book of a Musical Winner
polymarket

Tony Awards: Best Book of a Musical Winner

Volume:
$4,749

Schmigadoon!

 - Polymarket

Schmigadoon! - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Schmigadoon!

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,662
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marla Mindelle, Constantine Rousouli and Tye Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Lost Boys

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Book E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks which musical will win the Best Book of a Musical award at the Tony Awards. On Polymarket, Schmigadoon! is the leading contender at 89.0%. The market will resolve according to the official winner announced at the 79th Annual Tony Awards ceremony, with the television broadcast and official Tony website serving as the resolution source. Watch for the ceremony on June 7, 2026, when the Best Book of a Musical winner will be announced.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, following the live announcement of the Best Book of a Musical winner at the 2026 Tony Awards ceremony. Resolution is determined by the official winner declared by the Tony Awards voting body and confirmed by major entertainment media outlets. Once the category is announced, the winning nominee's contract settles at 100 cents and all other contracts settle at zero, concluding all trading activity on this event.

Key catalysts include pre-Tony buzz from industry publications, social media momentum for competing musicals, and any major cast or production changes. Award season patterns—such as wins at regional theater awards or critics' circles—often influence prediction market prices. Media coverage highlighting a particular musical's cultural impact or commercial success can shift trader sentiment. Additionally, surprise Tony nominations or snubs in related categories may redirect attention and capital toward or away from specific contenders, creating volatility in implied probabilities leading up to the June ceremony.