TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz - Exact Score
polymarket

What is the result of Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz?

Volume:
$169

Carlos Alcaraz 3-0

 - Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz 3-0 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 5:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz 3-0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy Paul 3-0

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy Paul 3-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy Paul 3-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz 3-2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Not Completed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Alcaraz vs. Paul match tracks the current probabilities of each possible exact score outcome, as determined by traders. It displays the implied probabilities for outcomes like Tommy Paul winning 3-0, Carlos Alcaraz winning 3-0, and all other potential set scores. You can also see the total volume traded on this market, currently at $169, and the 24-hour volume, which is $169. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and activity surrounding the match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score outcome, and the price of these shares reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined formulas.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official score of the Alcaraz vs. Paul match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded set scores of the match. The market will determine which exact score outcome corresponds to the actual result, and shares in that outcome will be worth 1 USDC while shares in all other outcomes will be worth 0 USDC. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts could shift traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the dynamics driving the market and potentially identify trading opportunities.