TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will claim victory in the third set of a specific tennis match at the 2026 US Open. The outcome hinges solely on the performance of the two athletes during that particular set, reflecting their competitive head-to-head battle under grand slam conditions.
The market resolves based on which player wins the third set of the specified 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 match between Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Vit Kopriva. If the match fails to commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play occurs, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. In cases of retirement during the match, markets determinable from completed play resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets settle at a Fair Market Price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic market curve that updates with each trade. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective judgment of all participants active in this market. Volume of $150,440 and 24-hour volume of $150,440 show how much trading activity is supporting those prices. Because Kalshi operates as a peer-to-peer exchange, pricing can shift rapidly in response to new information or shifts in trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on the official match records that confirm which player won the third set, and Kalshi will finalize the market based on those verified results. Timing aligns closely with the match timeline, ensuring traders can see the resolution almost immediately after the final point is played and reported.
Injuries, player form leading up to the match, and pre-match betting trends could shift this market. If either player makes surprising statements about readiness or strategy, traders may adjust their positions quickly. Additionally, any shifts in broader tournament dynamics — such as recent upsets or changes in seeding — can influence sentiment. As the match nears, real-time updates from practice sessions or weather conditions (if relevant) may also cause noticeable movement in this market’s odds on Kalshi.