TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Game Spread
kalshi

Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Game Spread

Volume:
$4,171

Pablo Carreno Busta -1.5 games

 - Kalshi

Pablo Carreno Busta -1.5 games - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 2:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pablo Carreno Busta -1.5 games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,431
N/A
N/A
$3,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tomas Machac -1.5 games

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
No
kalshi

Tomas Machac -4.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
$238
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the performance difference between two tennis players over an entire match. It focuses on whether one player manages to win enough games to meet or exceed a specified margin against their opponent. The outcome depends entirely on the final game count difference once the match concludes.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Tomas Machac or Pablo Carreno Busta achieves a specified game differential victory in their professional tennis match at the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 128. Three separate outcome thresholds are defined: Machac must win by more than 4.5 games, Machac must win by more than 1.5 games, or Carreno Busta must win by more than 1.5 games. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week closure window. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be definitively settled based on completed play resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets are priced fairly at the Exchange’s discretion. The Exchange explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.