TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess how many goals each team will score in a specific soccer match. They focus on whether a team will exceed certain goal thresholds, providing insight into expected offensive performance. Outcomes are determined solely by goals scored during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets evaluate whether Toluca or Necaxa will score above specified goal thresholds in their Liga MX match scheduled for August 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold—0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals—for each team. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the named team scores more than the stated threshold within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; 'No' if they score equal to or fewer. Own goals count toward the team to which they are awarded. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded from all calculations. The structure allows separate assessment of each team’s scoring potential at varying performance levels.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. While sportsbooks set fixed totals based on analytics and historical trends, prediction markets let participants bet on outcomes dynamically. This can create divergence, especially as new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather updates — that shifts trader expectations but may not be immediately reflected in sportsbook adjustments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants about the combined goals scored, with probabilities adjusting based on volume and recent trades. Price movement is driven by new data, such as tactical changes or performance trends, which participants interpret differently from traditional analysts.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official match determines whether the total goals fall above or below the threshold defined in this market, closing all open positions based on that result.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical decisions by coaches can all shift expectations for scoring output, moving this market. Media analysis and pre-match betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster changes or strategic shifts that hint at a more offensive or defensive approach will likely cause noticeable price adjustments as participants reassess probabilities before Aug 3, 2026.