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$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Toluca vs Necaxa: Team Total
kalshi

What is the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?

Volume:
$31,184

Toluca over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Toluca over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,655
N/A
N/A
$7,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca over 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,738
N/A
N/A
$4,126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Necaxa over 0.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,737
N/A
N/A
$4,752
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca over 0.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,486
N/A
N/A
$1,438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Necaxa over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,843
N/A
N/A
$2,636
Settled
No
kalshi

Toluca over 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,959
N/A
N/A
$1,745
Settled
No
kalshi

Necaxa over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,435
N/A
N/A
$1,395
Settled
No
kalshi

Toluca over 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,332
N/A
N/A
$904
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

These markets assess how many goals each team will score in a specific soccer match. They focus on whether a team will exceed certain goal thresholds, providing insight into expected offensive performance. Outcomes are determined solely by goals scored during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The markets evaluate whether Toluca or Necaxa will score above specified goal thresholds in their Liga MX match scheduled for August 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold—0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals—for each team. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the named team scores more than the stated threshold within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; 'No' if they score equal to or fewer. Own goals count toward the team to which they are awarded. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded from all calculations. The structure allows separate assessment of each team’s scoring potential at varying performance levels.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Toluca vs Necaxa team total market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the combined goals expectation between the two teams, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The display includes current top outcome probabilities and volume of $31,184 to help users gauge interest and liquidity in this specific event.

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. While sportsbooks set fixed totals based on analytics and historical trends, prediction markets let participants bet on outcomes dynamically. This can create divergence, especially as new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather updates — that shifts trader expectations but may not be immediately reflected in sportsbook adjustments.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants about the combined goals scored, with probabilities adjusting based on volume and recent trades. Price movement is driven by new data, such as tactical changes or performance trends, which participants interpret differently from traditional analysts.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official match determines whether the total goals fall above or below the threshold defined in this market, closing all open positions based on that result.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical decisions by coaches can all shift expectations for scoring output, moving this market. Media analysis and pre-match betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster changes or strategic shifts that hint at a more offensive or defensive approach will likely cause noticeable price adjustments as participants reassess probabilities before Aug 3, 2026.