TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the Toluca versus Monterrey Leagues Cup soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Toluca vs Monterrey professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score after regulation time, with a resolution date estimate of 2026-09-07.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the Toluca vs Monterrey professional Leagues Cup soccer game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold for the total goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the collective intelligence of traders stacks up against traditional oddsmakers. Often, this market reflects a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks, potentially incorporating information or analysis not fully captured by conventional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, the influence of public sentiment, or the unique dynamics of a prediction market where traders can actively influence prices. It's a useful exercise to see how the wisdom of the crowd aligns with, or diverges from, established betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Toluca vs Monterrey match. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic representation of collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a certain outcome is likely, they'll bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice-versa.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Toluca vs Monterrey match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored during regulation time will be the determining factor. The market will settle based on the official result published by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the settled outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Toluca or Monterrey would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could influence trader sentiment and drive price adjustments. Even significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or betting trends, might contribute to movement in this market.