TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nuria Brancaccio and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Brancaccio' if Nuria Brancaccio advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Nuria Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nuria Brancaccio and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Brancaccio' if Nuria Brancaccio advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Nuria Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome, or that the market has identified information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tolentino tennis match between Nuria Brancaccio and Maria Lourdes Carle. The platform will verify the match result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over another. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could affect overall confidence in player rankings and impact trading behavior in this market. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to price movements.