TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 6:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Lisa Zaar and Rebeka Masarova in Tolentino will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Tolentino: Completed Match: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova.” Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET, as that is when the initial signal for match completion – or potential postponement – will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Zaar and Rebeka Masarova in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Zaar' if Lisa Zaar advances against Rebeka Masarova. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masarova' if Rebeka Masarova advances against Lisa Zaar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities based on available information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome than fixed sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Zaar vs Masarova match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Lisa Zaar or Rebeka Masarova could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, general tennis news, expert analysis, and even social media sentiment can all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.