TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Zantedeschi and Marta Lombardini in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zantedeschi' if Aurora Zantedeschi advances against Marta Lombardini. This market will resolve to 'Marta Lombardini' if Marta Lombardini advances against Aurora Zantedeschi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Zantedeschi and Marta Lombardini in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zantedeschi' if Aurora Zantedeschi advances against Marta Lombardini. This market will resolve to 'Marta Lombardini' if Marta Lombardini advances against Aurora Zantedeschi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. This can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential discrepancies and inform your own assessment of the match's likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on the platform. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price movements indicate how the crowd is evaluating the relative strengths and weaknesses of Zantedeschi and Lombardini.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zantedeschi-Lombardini match, as reported by the governing sports body. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, and the platform will automatically distribute payouts according to the share ownership at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and reliable process for determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities of each player winning. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also impact trading volume and price movements. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility, making it a dynamic market to watch closely.