TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 11:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored in the second half of a college football game between Toledo and Michigan State. Each threshold represents a specific level of scoring performance that, if exceeded, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second half of play (excluding overtime) in the Toledo vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for September 4, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count, and all markets operate independently with their respective thresholds determining resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of the total points scored in the 2nd half. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional betting markets, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds provide a useful benchmark for comparison and can highlight potential value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing the outcome of the Toledo vs Michigan St. 2nd half total. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders regarding the likelihood of the total going over or under the specified number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the market's estimate of the probability of the total points scored falling within the range defined by the contract.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second half of the Toledo vs Michigan St. football game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the source of truth for the resolution of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Toledo or Michigan St. would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. As game day approaches, any updates on team strategies or offensive/defensive adjustments could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift the market price, even without new external information.