TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Toledo or Michigan State in the first half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Toledo vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for September 4, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold outlined in each individual market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover a range of point differentials for both possible outcomes—Michigan State winning by various margins and Toledo winning by various margins—allowing participants to bet on different levels of dominance in the first half.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics for the first-half spread, and once confirmed, all positions settle automatically based on the final verified score difference.
Injuries, weather conditions, or last-minute coaching decisions could all shift trader sentiment and move this market before resolution. Key moments such as pre-game warmups, starting lineups, or early-game momentum swings may cause rapid adjustments in odds. Any unexpected developments that affect the perceived likelihood of a spread cover will influence trader positioning right up until Sep 5, 2026.