TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.1b

24H VOL:

$117,260,785

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,782,936,628

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,740,268,001

506,571

Markets across

37,600

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,852

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Sports
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan?

Volume:
$641,556

Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 7:28 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$324,258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$32,668
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$160,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -0.5

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 33.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 51.5

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 55.5

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 65.5

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 215

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions – over or under 0.5 – in the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Eastern Michigan. Currently, the consensus probability favors Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 at 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official NCAA game results as reported on NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 17th, as the final tally of 4th down conversions will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize the same core resolution criteria based on official game results, handling ties, postponements, and cancellations identically.Primary resolution logic: Official NCAA game results (e.g., NCAA.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the final official score of the game.
  • Overtime is included in the resolution.
  • A tie results in a 50-50 split for the winner market.
  • Postponed games remain open until completed.
  • Canceled games resolve to a 50-50 split.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, all markets will resolve to 50-50.
  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets will remain open until the game is completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official game results are available, typically within 24 hours of the game's completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Eastern Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Eastern Michigan" if Eastern Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Eastern Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Eastern Michigan" if Eastern Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It displays a consensus view of probabilities, currently showing a volume of $641,556 and 24-hour volume of $637,781. This allows users to see how collective predictions evolve over time. The dashboard aims to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for the game's outcome, synthesizing data from different sources to offer a more robust signal than any single market alone. It's a central place to monitor the wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital based on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they incentivize honest assessment and aggregate diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like sharp bettors and liability management.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, market design, and trading volume. Polymarket currently favors Toledo at 100%, while Predict leans toward a different outcome. These differences arise from the unique incentives and information available to each platform’s participants. For example, one platform might attract more sophisticated traders with access to specialized data, while the other may have a broader, more general audience. Furthermore, the specific rules and fees associated with each market can influence trading behavior and price discovery.