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Toledo vs. Ball State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Toledo vs Ball State?

Volume:
$1,136,011

Toledo

 - Kalshi

Toledo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toledo

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$311,137
N/A
N/A
$185,313
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toledo vs. Ball State

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toledo O/U 20.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toledo O/U 29.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toledo O/U 32.5

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toledo O/U 26.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ball State O/U 23.5

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 237

Intro

This market tracks whether Ball State will exceed 375.5 total scrimmage yards in their upcoming college football game against Toledo. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 50.0% that they will. This aggregated view combines market data from both platforms, with resolution determined by data reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. The outcome will be settled following the completion of the game, scheduled for October 3rd, so keep a close eye on final team statistics released after the game concludes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Multiple spread markets exist with differing point spreads, creating SKU risk and potential for conflicting resolutions.Hero tip: Be mindful of the specific spread market you are trading. The different spreads create distinct outcomes and probabilities. Focus on markets with clear, actionable information and avoid over-diversification across similar spread markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Toledo or Ball State wins the game. This is a binary outcome market, not tied to a specific point spread.
  • Polymarket: Offers a variety of markets, including the outright winner (Toledo or Ball State) and numerous spread markets with varying point spreads (e.g., -20.5, -17.5, -16.5, etc.). Resolution depends on the specific market traded.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Ball State, scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Toledo versus Ball State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Toledo vs. Ball State game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $1,136,011, with $829,694 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Ball St. wins at 92, while Kalshi leans toward Toledo vs. Ball State: 2Q O/U 13.5 at 100. This allows for a consensus view of potential outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on each platform. The dashboard provides a convenient way to monitor how predictions evolve as new information becomes available before the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by what traders believe will happen. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to factors not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as insider information or subtle shifts in team dynamics. However, both offer valuable insights for those looking to assess the probabilities surrounding the Toledo vs. Ball State game.

Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform can vary – Polymarket currently favors Ball St. wins at 92, while Kalshi leans toward Toledo vs. Ball State: 2Q O/U 13.5 at 100. These differing market structures and participant perspectives contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are attempting to forecast the same event.