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Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos (W)

Volume:
$71,588

Toledo

 - Kalshi

Toledo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toledo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,724
N/A
N/A
$26,245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Western Michigan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,864
N/A
N/A
$23,392
Settled
No
polymarket

Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos (W)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) game between the Toledo Rockets and Western Michigan Broncos scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Toledo win and Western Michigan win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rule is logically broken—it resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins, defeating the purpose of a binary prediction market. Trade only on Polymarket, which correctly implements a true binary outcome structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Implements proper binary resolution: Toledo Rockets win resolves to Toledo Rockets; Western Michigan win resolves to Western Michigan Broncos. Handles edge cases with postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contains logical contradiction: states both Toledo win AND Western Michigan win resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where every possible outcome maps to the same resolution value, making it impossible to differentiate between the two teams' outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.