TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Toledo Rockets and Buffalo Bulls scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Toledo win and Buffalo win) are stated to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. The market as written cannot function as a binary predictor. Polymarket's framework is logically sound: Toledo win resolves to Toledo Rockets, Buffalo win resolves to Buffalo Bulls, with clear postponement and cancellation provisions.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with clear differentiation: Toledo Rockets resolves if Toledo wins, Buffalo Bulls resolves if Buffalo wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Logical impossibility: states both Buffalo win and Toledo win resolve to Yes, creating no differentiation between outcomes. Market cannot function as intended.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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