TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$11,577

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 4:15 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,727
N/A
N/A
$5,416
Settled
No
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,434
N/A
N/A
$3,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,329
N/A
N/A
$966
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
$1,049
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yomiuri Giants, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts anticipate the competitive balance between these two teams in a specific matchup. The resolution depends entirely on the runs scored by each team in the game as it concludes.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yomiuri Giants scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market resolves based on the margin of victory achieved by either team. Specifically, two markets resolve if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs or more than 1.5 runs, while the other two resolve if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs or more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and resolution depends solely on the final runs scored by each team once the game concludes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NPB championship market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the potential outcomes for this contest between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yomiuri Giants. Currently, the total volume traded is $11,577, with $10,294 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and activity as people trade on their predictions for the spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yomiuri Giants. The official result will be sourced from established sports news outlets and league standings, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tokyo Yakult Swallows or the Yomiuri Giants would likely cause significant movement. Changes in pitching rotations, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even major shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis could all affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or player performance will also likely impact the price of contracts in this market.