TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 5:20 AM EST
Kalshi
The event centers on the performance difference between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Yomiuri Giants in their upcoming Japan NPB game. Wagers are placed on whether the winning team will cover specific run differentials. The result is determined by the margin of victory.
Markets resolve based on the winning margin in the Japan NPB game between Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Yomiuri Giants, scheduled for August 8, 2026, at 2:00 AM EDT. Thresholds include Yomiuri Giants winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 runs, and Tokyo Yakult Swallows winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 runs. If the winning team’s margin exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official league affiliation, and trademarks remain with their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the Giants meet the spread condition, settling all contracts based on the game's official result.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, injury updates for star players, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and in-game performance trends as the match approaches. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of the Giants winning by over 1.5 runs may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.