TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$115,145

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,085
N/A
N/A
$34,774
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,868
N/A
N/A
$26,892
Settled
No
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yomiuri Giants scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch between three-outcome (Polymarket) and binary (Kalshi) resolutions for the same underlying eventHero tip: Traders should recognize that Polymarket requires specific team outcomes while Kalshi treats any game completion as a Yes outcome. Monitor official NPB announcements for game status to anticipate resolution differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market resolving to specific team names or 50-50 for ties/cancellations: "If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to 'Tokyo Yakult Swallows'. If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to 'Yomiuri Giants'. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes for either team winning the originally scheduled game: "If Yomiuri Giants wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Yomiuri Giants wins the Yomiuri Giants vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins the Yomiuri Giants vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Swallows vs. Giants matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest across platforms. It displays current probabilities, volume of $115,145, and 24-hour volume of $109,386, letting users see consensus and divergence in real time. Because this market pulls from several prediction markets, the view reflects broader market sentiment rather than a single exchange’s perspective.