TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$154,109

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102,216
N/A
N/A
$65,670
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,901
N/A
N/A
$31,437
Settled
No
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Yomiuri Giants scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Swallows win OR Giants win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The Polymarket version is logically sound and should be treated as the reference. Request explicit confirmation from Kalshi on whether this is a game-completion market, a moneyline on a specific team, or a documentation error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary logic: Swallows win resolves to Swallows, Giants win resolves to Giants. Tie, cancellation, or no make-up game resolves 50-50. Source: NPB official site. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory resolution: Both If Yomiuri Giants wins and If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins are mapped to Yes. No condition specified for No resolution. Key Quote: If Yomiuri Giants wins... resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins... resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 16 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of the Yomiuri Giants vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Swallows vs. Giants matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and trading volume as the event approaches. Both venues host identical outcome contracts, letting traders compare pricing and liquidity across platforms. The cross-platform view surfaces consensus probability estimates alongside individual platform odds, helping you spot arbitrage opportunities or validate your own forecast against the broader market. Total volume across both venues reflects the collective conviction behind each outcome.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal whether public consensus leans bullish or bearish relative to conventional betting markets, though both should be treated as independent data sources rather than substitutes.