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$130,522,377

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars?

Volume:
$6,517

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 8:14 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,164
N/A
N/A
$1,874
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,744
N/A
N/A
$2,532
Settled
No
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$853
N/A
N/A
$835
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$757
N/A
N/A
$708
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yokohama DeNA BayStars, focusing on the margin of victory. The result depends on which team wins and by how many runs they win. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars game scheduled for September 18, 2026. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NPB championship market tracks the current odds for the Yokohama DeNA BayStars to win by over 2.5 runs against the Tokyo Yakult Swallows. You can view the price history, which shows how the probability of this outcome has changed over time, and the 24-hour volume, currently at $6,517. The total volume traded on this market is $6,517. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and trading activity related to this specific spread.

Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe the Yokohama DeNA BayStars are more likely to win by over 2.5 runs than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential performance.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yokohama DeNA BayStars. Specifically, the market will determine if the BayStars won by more than 2.5 runs. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tokyo Yakult Swallows or the Yokohama DeNA BayStars would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, strategic lineup announcements, and even public sentiment expressed through sports analysts and media coverage could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price.