TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yokohama DeNA BayStars, focusing on the margin of victory. The result depends on which team wins and by how many runs they win. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars game scheduled for September 18, 2026. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual property.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe the Yokohama DeNA BayStars are more likely to win by over 2.5 runs than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential performance.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Yokohama DeNA BayStars. Specifically, the market will determine if the BayStars won by more than 2.5 runs. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tokyo Yakult Swallows or the Yokohama DeNA BayStars would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, strategic lineup announcements, and even public sentiment expressed through sports analysts and media coverage could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price.