TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars
kalshi
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars

Volume:
$18,710

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars

 - Polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 11:47 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,907
N/A
N/A
$4,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,718
N/A
N/A
$5,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,075
N/A
N/A
$1,966
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,816
N/A
N/A
$1,816
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct baseball games involving the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Yokohama BayStars. The Polymarket contract resolves based on the outcome of an NPB professional game, while the Kalshi contracts resolve based on run totals from a specified college baseball game scheduled for the same date and time next year.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope mismatch between professional NPB game and college baseball game scheduled for different yearsHero tip: Do not treat these as the same event. Verify whether each contract references the professional NPB game or the 2026 college game. The markets will resolve completely differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars professional NPB game scheduled for August 16 at 5:00AM ET this year. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if total runs exceed specified thresholds (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5) in the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows COLLEGE baseball game scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 16 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and Tokyo Yakult Swallows in their college baseball game scheduled for August 16, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the actual total runs meet or surpass any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars matchup aggregates real-time prediction market data across platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $18,710 and 24-hour volume of $18,318, plus a consensus view from Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives you a live snapshot of market sentiment around this market, updated as new bets are placed.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in team strategy could shift this market as the game approaches. Strong recent performances or trading rumors may also sway trader sentiment. Any update that alters the perceived likelihood of outcomes can cause rapid price changes on both Polymarket and Kalshi before the market settles.