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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread

Volume:
$2,643

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 8:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,051
N/A
N/A
$887
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
$479
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$574
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts anticipate the competitive balance between the two teams in a specific matchup. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it was scheduled to occur on a particular date and time.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct outcome markets, each defined by a specific run differential threshold for either team’s victory. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if the actual game result meets or exceeds the run-differential condition specified in any of the four primary rules—meaning Hiroshima wins by more than 2.5 runs, Hiroshima wins by more than 1.5 runs, Tokyo wins by more than 1.5 runs, or Tokyo wins by more than 2.5 runs. If none of these conditions are met—for example, if the game ends in a tie, if a team wins by exactly the margin specified (e.g., a 2-run or 1-run victory), or if the game is canceled or rescheduled—the market resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same underlying game reference and secondary disclaimer regarding Kalsci’s lack of official affiliation with the Japan NPB league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the Swallows vs Carp spread market, along with current trading volume of $2,643 and 24-hour volume of $2,541. It visualizes how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various run-difference outcomes as the game approaches.

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and public sentiment compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their spreads based on broader analytics and betting patterns, prediction markets let participants directly bet on their expectations, sometimes leading to tighter or more volatile spreads.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the spread condition is met, and the market will close accordingly based on official game results.