TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

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30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread

Volume:
$2,799

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 8:45 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,203
N/A
N/A
$1,203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
$599
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
$512
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
$484
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it unfolds.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp game scheduled for August 29, 2026. If the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 2.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if they win by more than 1.5 runs, another market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs or more than 2.5 runs, their respective markets resolve to Yes. Each rule addresses a different winning margin threshold for either team, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of dominance in the game’s outcome. All markets are independent, and only the specific condition met by the final score determines the resolution of each respective market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Swallows vs Carp spread market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for this market, along with 24-hour volume of $2,799. It provides a visual history of how traders on Kalshi are pricing the potential margin of victory in the upcoming game, showing shifts in sentiment as the contest approaches.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks to determine the current probability. The top outcome’s implied chance reflects the most recent trading activity and order book balance. With a volume of $2,799 and 24-hour volume of $2,799, the market shows moderate interest. Traders assess team performance, pitcher matchups, and recent form to guide their bets, influencing the price dynamics seen on the platform.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the final run differential between the two teams. Once the match concludes and results are publicly reported, the market will close and payouts will be processed based on the recorded spread outcome.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can significantly impact this market. Strong recent performance from either team’s lineup or bullpen may also shift trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster announcements or tactical decisions by managers could cause rapid price adjustments. Media coverage highlighting these developments may amplify movement in the market’s odds leading up to Aug 29, 2026.