TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it unfolds.
The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp game scheduled for August 29, 2026. If the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 2.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if they win by more than 1.5 runs, another market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs or more than 2.5 runs, their respective markets resolve to Yes. Each rule addresses a different winning margin threshold for either team, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of dominance in the game’s outcome. All markets are independent, and only the specific condition met by the final score determines the resolution of each respective market.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks to determine the current probability. The top outcome’s implied chance reflects the most recent trading activity and order book balance. With a volume of $2,799 and 24-hour volume of $2,799, the market shows moderate interest. Traders assess team performance, pitcher matchups, and recent form to guide their bets, influencing the price dynamics seen on the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the final run differential between the two teams. Once the match concludes and results are publicly reported, the market will close and payouts will be processed based on the recorded spread outcome.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can significantly impact this market. Strong recent performance from either team’s lineup or bullpen may also shift trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster announcements or tactical decisions by managers could cause rapid price adjustments. Media coverage highlighting these developments may amplify movement in the market’s odds leading up to Aug 29, 2026.